Summary

Iran's parliament convenes today for the most consequential vote of the war — ratification of the peace framework negotiated over 90 days of diplomacy and bloodshed. Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf scheduled the session after a final 24 hours of frantic lobbying by moderate coalition whips attempting to secure clean passage while hardliners circulated amendments that could void the entire agreement. With the May 31 P5+1 deadline just two days away, the vote represents the clearest path to ending the conflict or extending it into a fourth month of escalation.

What to Watch

• Vote timing — when Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf calls the ratification session to order
• Amendment strategy — whether hardliners formally table amendments or use them as leverage for concessions
• Whip count verification — whether moderates have secured the simple majority needed for clean passage
• Supreme Leader signals — whether Ayatollah Khamenei issues pre-vote guidance to wavering MPs
• P5+1 diplomatic response — whether major powers react publicly to proceedings or wait for final tally
• Oil market reaction — whether Brent crude continues decline on optimism or rebounds on uncertainty
• U.S. military posture — whether Pentagon adjusts force levels ahead of deadline expiration
• May 31 countdown — 2 days remaining before the stated P5+1 deadline expires

Sources

This report will be updated throughout the day as events develop. Key sources include Reuters, AP, Al Jazeera, BBC, Bloomberg, CNBC, and official Pentagon briefings.

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